Today’s top headlines from The Telegraph

Welcome to your early morning news briefing from The Telegraph – a round-up of the top stories we are covering on Monday. To receive twice-daily briefings by email, sign up to our Front Page newsletter for free.

1. Coronavirus cases to slump this winter, say scientists

Covid cases will plummet in November even without Plan B restrictions, modelling seen by the Government suggests.

Ministers are thought to be holding back from introducing restrictions such as compulsory face masks, working from home and vaccine passports, after seeing projections from several groups which show infections declining rapidly within weeks. Read the full story.

2. Sunak hints public sector pay could rise in this week’s Budget

Rishi Sunak has suggested that public sector pay will rise in this week’s Budget.

It would mean an end to last year’s public sector pay freeze, with wage increases for 2.6 million workers including teachers, police and civil servants. Read the full story.

3. Number of EU citizens claiming benefits doubled during pandemic

The number of EU citizens claiming benefits doubled in the pandemic, new figures show, amid fears many are living abroad while still receiving the money.

EU citizens with settled status remained eligible for millions of pounds of benefits and furlough through the Withdrawal Agreement, despite leaving the UK. Read the full story.

4. Alec Baldwin risks being prosecuted for involuntary manslaughter over film set shooting

Alec Baldwin risks being prosecuted for involuntary manslaughter over the accidental shooting of cinematographer Halyna Hutchins, legal experts have warned.

The Hollywood star could face the charges because of his role as the executive producer of the film, rather than for pulling the trigger, suggested US attorney Joseph Costa. Read the full story.

5. Eight arrested in murder probe after two teenage boys killed in Brentwood

Police have arrested eight men after two teenage boys were killed in a suspected double murder in Brentwood, Essex.

Officers were called to Regency Court at approximately 1.30 on Sunday morning. Read the full story.

 Stay up-to-date with breaking news and the latest politics from The Telegraph throughout the day.

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